Media and Information
The United States Has Bombed Iran’s Nuclear Facilities. Trump Says the Programme Has Been “Obliterated”. The Harder Question Is Whether America Destroyed a Nuclear Threat or Changed Iran’s Incentive to Build a Bomb.
The United States has now entered the Israel-Iran war directly. Overnight, American forces struck Iran’s three principal nuclear sites at Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan, using B-2 stealth bombers and bunker-busting munitions against facilities that Israel…
India Struck Pakistan. Pakistan Responded. Then Both Sides Stopped. The Most Important Question Is Whether This Was Successful Deterrence or Another Turn of an Escalation Cycle.
The crisis that began with the 22 April Pahalgam attack has now crossed into direct military confrontation between India and Pakistan and, at least for the moment, returned from it. In the early hours of…
Trump Paused Most of His “Liberation Day” Tariffs After Markets Revolted. China Was the Exception. This Is Starting to Look Less Like a Global Trade War and More Like an Attempt to Reorganise the World Economy Around China.
Donald Trump’s “Liberation Day” trade regime lasted in its original form for less than a week. On 9 April, only hours after the new country-specific tariffs came into effect, Trump announced a 90-day pause for…
Trump Says America Could “Take Over” Gaza. The Proposal Reveals a Larger Problem: Reconstruction Is Easy to Discuss When the People Living There Are Treated as Variables Rather Than Political Actors.
Donald Trump produced one of the most extraordinary foreign-policy proposals of his presidency this week. Standing beside Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu at the White House on 4 February, Trump said the United States could…
Donald Trump Is President Again. His First Week Shows That the Central Argument of His Second Term Will Be About How Much a President Can Change Without Congress.
Donald Trump returned to the White House on 20 January and immediately began testing the boundaries of presidential power. Within days, he signed a large wave of executive orders and presidential actions covering immigration, energy,…
Israel and Hamas Have Reached a Ceasefire Deal. The Hard Part Was Getting to an Agreement. The Harder Part May Be Making Sure Neither Side Decides It Is Better Off Breaking It.
A ceasefire between Israel and Hamas took effect today, beginning the first phase of an agreement intended to pause more than fifteen months of war in Gaza and secure the release of Israeli hostages in…
Israel and Hezbollah Spent Eleven Months Trying to Avoid a Full War. They May Now Be Discovering That Limited Escalation Has a Limit.
The conflict between Israel and Hezbollah has entered its most dangerous phase since the Gaza war began. Over the past week, thousands of pagers and walkie-talkies used by Hezbollah members exploded across Lebanon in attacks…
Venezuela’s Opposition Says It Won the Election. Its Candidate Has Now Fled the Country. That Is the Difference Between Electoral Victory and State Power.
Venezuela’s political crisis has entered a more dangerous phase. On 2 September, a Venezuelan judge issued an arrest warrant for opposition presidential candidate Edmundo González Urrutia, accusing him of conspiracy and other offences connected to…
Ukraine Has Invaded Russia. The Immediate Military Gain Matters Less Than What It Reveals About Risk, Surprise and Bargaining Power.
Ukraine’s surprise offensive into Russia’s Kursk region has now become the largest incursion into Russian territory since Moscow launched its full-scale invasion in 2022, and one of the most politically significant battlefield developments of the…
Joe Biden Has Left the Race. The Most Important Question Is Why It Took a Crisis for His Party to Confront the Problem.
Joe Biden withdrew from the 2024 presidential election today and endorsed Vice-President Kamala Harris, ending an extraordinary three-week crisis inside the Democratic Party and pushing the United States into territory no major modern presidential campaign…
Macron Lost One Election and Immediately Called Another. The Gamble Is Whether Giving Voters More Power Can Cost Him His Own.
France is heading towards an election almost nobody expected to be taking place this summer. After Marine Le Pen’s National Rally won roughly 32% of the French vote in the European Parliament election on 9…
The G7 Is Lending Ukraine $50 Billion Against Profits From Frozen Russian Assets. That Sounds Technical. It Is Actually a Major Change in How Economic Power Is Used in War.
The G7 agreed this week to provide Ukraine with roughly $50 billion in new financing, using the future profits generated by frozen Russian sovereign assets as the economic foundation for repayment. Most of Russia’s immobilised…