Armed Conflict
Trump Has Ordered Major Strikes on Yemen’s Houthis. The Problem Is That Destroying Missiles Is Easier Than Destroying the Incentive to Keep Firing Them.
Donald Trump ordered a major new American military campaign against Houthi-controlled areas of Yemen on 15 March, after the Iran-aligned movement threatened to resume attacks on shipping connected to Israel in response to restrictions on…
Assad Is Gone. Now Syria Faces the Test That Determines Whether a Revolution Becomes a State: Can the Winners Protect the People Associated With the Losers?
Syria’s transition has entered its most dangerous moment since Bashar al-Assad fled Damascus in December. Over the past several days, fighting and sectarian violence have erupted across the country’s Mediterranean coastal region after gunmen associated…
Trump and Zelenskyy’s Oval Office Meeting Collapsed Into an Argument. The Bigger Issue Is What Happens When an Alliance Becomes a Negotiation Between Unequal Partners.
The meeting between Donald Trump and Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the White House on 28 February was supposed to demonstrate a new economic partnership between the United States and Ukraine. Instead, it ended in an extraordinary…
Germany Has Voted. The Centre-Right Won, the Far Right Surged, and the Parties Actually Governing the Country Were Punished.
Germany voted today in an election that may prove more important than an ordinary change of government. Early results put Friedrich Merz’s CDU/CSU first with roughly 29% of the vote, positioning him to become the…
Trump Says the Ukraine War Must End. The Hard Question Is Whether Ending a War Quickly Can Create the Conditions for the Next One.
The diplomatic structure surrounding the Russia-Ukraine war changed dramatically this week. On 12 February, Donald Trump spoke directly with Vladimir Putin and announced that negotiations to end the war should begin, before speaking separately with…
Trump Says America Could “Take Over” Gaza. The Proposal Reveals a Larger Problem: Reconstruction Is Easy to Discuss When the People Living There Are Treated as Variables Rather Than Political Actors.
Donald Trump produced one of the most extraordinary foreign-policy proposals of his presidency this week. Standing beside Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu at the White House on 4 February, Trump said the United States could…
Trump Has Started a Trade War With America’s Closest Trading Partners. The Question Is Whether Tariffs Create Leverage Faster Than They Create Costs.
Donald Trump has begun implementing one of the central promises of his second presidential campaign. On 1 February, he ordered a 25% tariff on most imports from Canada and Mexico and an additional 10% tariff…
Israel and Hamas Have Reached a Ceasefire Deal. The Hard Part Was Getting to an Agreement. The Harder Part May Be Making Sure Neither Side Decides It Is Better Off Breaking It.
A ceasefire between Israel and Hamas took effect today, beginning the first phase of an agreement intended to pause more than fifteen months of war in Gaza and secure the release of Israeli hostages in…
Assad Is Gone. Now Syria Has to Avoid the Mistake That Has Destroyed So Many Revolutions: Winning the War and Losing the State.
Two weeks after the collapse of Bashar al-Assad’s government, Syria is beginning the much less dramatic and much more difficult process of determining what replaces it. Ahmed al-Sharaa, the leader of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS),…
Bashar al-Assad’s Government Has Collapsed. After Thirteen Years of Civil War, the Hardest Question Is Who Actually Owns the Victory.
Syria has undergone one of the most dramatic political collapses of the twenty-first century. On 8 December, rebel forces entered Damascus and Bashar al-Assad fled to Russia, ending more than fifty years of rule by…
Trump Is Building His Second Administration. The Most Important Difference From 2016 Is That This Time He Knows Which Institutions Resisted Him.
Donald Trump’s transition back to the presidency is moving rapidly, and his first appointments already suggest that the second Trump administration may be structurally different from the first. Trump has selected figures including Marco Rubio…
BRICS Is Getting Bigger. The More Important Question Is Whether More Members Actually Means More Power.
The BRICS summit in Kazan, Russia, concluded this week with leaders from an expanded group attempting to present something increasingly visible in international politics: the institutions created after the Second World War no longer reflect…
